Tuesday, December 29, 2015

The Role Of Bill Clinton In A Hillary-Donald Match-Up

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Bill Clinton Is Incredibly Popular.
How Much Will That Help Hillary's 2016 Campaign?
Washington Post

Dear Fred,

Thanks for Frog Hospital.

I too want Hillary to win - because she can... and Bernie can't.

However, unlike you I prefer that America be something other than what "she" has become and believe (or want to believe?) that the current state of the nation is an aberration, not its essential truth. (If the current state of the nation represents a lasting change -- and if "God" is anything like a just deity -- America's only hope is to pray for Mercy.)

Americans LOVE Bill Clinton.

And his contrast with Trump will work in Hillary's favor.

The Clintons spotlight Trump's churlishness, and although conservative Christians are Masters of Denial, sustained focus on the stark difference between the two "families" will make many supporters (currently in the evango-fundie camp) despair of The Boor

"My God, what were we thinking?!?" (Which is, of course, The Question always to be asked of evango-fundies).

American presidential elections are won or lost by a few percentage points, and in a match-up between "The Clintons" and The Donald, Trump's crass misogyny and pastiche-communion-cracker-Christianity - without any of Donald's other baggage - will lose the percentage points necessary for victory.

On the Democratic side of the ledger, significant numbers of women (and men) will "turn out for Hillary" as the first U.S. woman to occupy The Oval Office -- and many lethargic Hispanics will "turn out for Julian" as the first Tex-Mex veep, a charismatic fellow whose political trajectory makes him front-runner for a future presidency.

In a Hillary-Donald match-up we are likely to see a landslide for The Donkeys.

You may say, "My ass!"... and you will be right.

Moderate Republican For Trump: Only Trump Can Restore GOP Sanity... By A Landslide Loss

It Trump manages to turn enough stomachs, Hillary's coat-tails could be long enough to seize the House as well as the Senate.

Then, during Clinton's presidency, the Supreme Court gets re-formulated forever and Obama is appointed Chief Justice (?).

For better or worse, "it's curtains for angry white males."


Pax tecum


(The only fly-in-the-ointment is if "ISIS" - or a paladin affiliate - pulls off a "deadly terror attack" on U.S. soil next summer or fall. Given how hysteria always trumps reason, prudence and sound judgment... Trump would probably become the odds-on favorite.)

Self-Terrorization, The National Pastime

Americans Are 9 Times More Likely To Be Killed By A Policeman Than A Terrorist

The Weaponization Of Grief: Paris Terror And The Non-Contextualization Of News Coverage

The Time-Line For European Terrorism: The Time-Line Of Who Is Responsible For How Much Over The Decades

On Tue, Dec 29, 2015 at 12:10 PM, Fred Owens <> wrote:

FROG HOSPITAL -- December 29, 2015 -- unsubscribe anytime
What About Bernie?
By Fred Owens
Bernie Sanders has a wife, Jane Sanders,  and the NYTimes has a story about her . She seems like a good sort. Makes me want to vote for Bernie.
Hillary Clinton is going to bring out her husband Bill as her not-so-secret weapon. Bill Clinton is a major liability to her campaign  -- he has so much baggage and he supplies major insult material for  Donald Trump. Trump versus Clinton will get nasty. Cover your ears.
I support Bernie on the basis of character and decency. He's a pretty square guy, and not mega-rich like the Clintons. But I don't endorse Bernie's socialist agenda, and I end up back in Hillary's camp because her middle of the road position is similar to my own view.
Bernie Sanders, if elected, will be the President of the Way It's Supposed To Be. Hillary Clinton, if elected, will be the President of the Way It Is.
Let me give an example. Americans are supposed to love trains and use public transportation, and that will wean us from fossil fuels and reduce congestion.  That's the way it's supposed to be. But Americans don't love trains, they love cars. That's the way it is. Look out the window -- this isn't Europe. Let's make America a better country, and let's start by loving it the way it is. 
Cold and Dry in Santa Barbara and Still No Rain. I planted garlic on Saturday. I should have planted the garlic in October when the soil was still warm. That's what the book says, and the book is right. There is nothing more discouraging and defeating then gardening advice from the experts who write these books. Screw 'em.
Or these lame-brain tightly-scheduled pruning manuals. Oh no, you're not supposed to trim your forsythia until AFTER it blooms. And if you have no life, you can follow that schedule. But if you do have a life, then you trim the damn forsythia when you get around to it, and you will have my complete support in doing so.. 
The good books and the good garden masters encourage you to learn by making mistakes. Prune! Plant! Dig! Sow! Rake! Fertilize! All that. It won't always work, but so what!
The very best gardeners and farmers are not really smarter than you are, but they have that one supreme quality -- they never give up, they just keep going. And this coming year of 2016 could be the best year ever.
The Bus Book. It will not take me very long to re-write this novel, called the Bus Book. I threw out Chapter 2 and that was the only big problem. Now I need to re-write the beginning of the book -- the first few pages. This is key. I was browsing the fiction section of the bookstore last week, viewing the opening paragraphs of authors I admire, looking for an idea to steal.
I have no title for this book. I am unable to do that. I will ask my First Readers to suggest something.
Anyway, all this will not take a huge amount of time. Estimating to finish the work in mid-January.
I Only Work for Nice People.   I have a part-time business doing gardening work for people in Santa Barbara. Here the ad I run in Craigs List to drum up business:
I only work for nice people and I give them excellent service. I will be kind to your small children and your pets. I will respect your property and your privacy.

In January we prune the roses. I have some experience in rose work.

January is also a good time to plant bare-root roses and fruit trees. La Sumida Nursery has a good stock of those plants.

Any potted plants can go in the ground now, and transplanting also works best this time of year -- when the weather is cold and the plants are dormant.

This is a good time of year for me to spread mulch on your garden. I can arrange to have it delivered or you can do that yourself. Mulch slows evaporation, smothers weeds, softens the soil, and adds organic matter as it breaks down. Adding mulch is a no-brainer. And new mulch makes your garden look beautiful.

I bring my own hand tools and prefer organic methods. I have local references, and I will give you an honest deal.

I don't mow lawns as a regular service, but if you are in a pinch and if you have a working lawn mower, then I can do that too. I am also glad to help you clean out your garage and do basic chores, as needed.

I do volunteer work at the Mission rose garden and at the Mesa Harmony Garden.

Give me a call if you are interested. I will come and see your garden and we can make a plan. 

Happy New Year. I am so grateful to have friends and family -- some close by, some out there in the world. I am so thankful to have such a lovely girl friend -- Laurie Moon is the very best of the best of the best, and her two lively daughters Mariah and Shannon are extra good.  My two wonderful children Eugene and Eva are all grown up and doing well. My siblings Tom, Carolyn and Katy are so kind and careful.
Special Thanks to all Faithful Frog Hospital Readers and Subscribers. You are the best, and you make every news letter a love letter as well.
Be well. Take Care. All my best to you and yours.

Frog Hospital Subscription Drive.   Your contribution of $25 is greatly appreciated. The Frog Hospital newsletter has been cruising down the Internet for 16 years now. I have tried to kill this newsletter several times – tried to stomp it out like the ember from an old campfire, or dig it up like a pestiferous weed, but it won’t die – Frog Hospital just keeps on going.
So please send a check. Your contribution keeps me from getting cranky. It helps me to maintain a detached attitude. Let’s keep it going….
Go to the Frog Hospital blog and hit the PayPal button for $25,
Send a check for $25 to
Fred Owens
1105 Veronica Springs RD
Santa Barbara, CA 93105


Fred Owens
cell: 360-739-0214

My gardening blog is  Fred Owens
My writing blog is Frog Hospital

Follow-up to the above posts:

On Tue, Dec 29, 2015 at 12:10 PM, Fred Owens <> wrote:

Clinton will beat Trump in a straight matchup, but it will be ugly.  Rubio has a better chance against Clinton. Cruz? Who knows.

Fred Owens
cell: 360-739-0214

My gardening blog is  Fred Owens
My writing blog is Frog Hospital

Dear Fred,

Thanks for your email.

Rubio will have to live down (or live with) his proposal that undocumented aliens have "a clear path to citizenship."

This is a core issue for the Republican Base and will not curry much favor in a race with Hillary, much less a race with Hillary-Julian.

"In 2013, Rubio was part of the bipartisan "Gang of Eight" Senators that crafted comprehensive immigration reform legislation.[101] Rubio proposed a plan providing a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States involving payment of fines and back taxes, background checks, and a probationary period.[102]"

Rubio also lacks bona fides with conservative Christians, a circumstance that will combine with his "open path citizenship" to make it doubly hard for Rubio to "get out" The Base.

Remember: Republicans have never been crazier than they are now and red meat had better be the only menu offering (which accounts for Trump's outsized - but intrinsically limited - popularity.)

Cruz is the most hated man in the Senate -- on both sides of the aisle.

This opprobrium may have cachet with Republican firebrands. But however Cruz is sliced and diced, he remains a consummate a__h___ whose ring-around-the-collar sliminess won't wear well over the long haul. 

Cruz prides himself on being a top-form debator but since he has little to say that isn't rooted in apocalyptic lunacy, I think Hillary can not only "take him on" but "take him to the cleaners."

Pax tecum


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