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Saturday, September 9, 2017

Ongoing Correspondence With A Conspiracist Friend Re: The "Staged" Slaughter At Sandy Hook


Don't miss the "well-known satanic symbols" on the webpage where I found the above photo.
http://www.whale.to/c/sandy_hook_pictures.html

On Mon, Aug 14, 2017 at 5:53 PM, AF  wrote:


Alan:

I don’t know how we got onto Sandy Hook but it doesn’t really matter. It is as good as any of the hoaxes and false flags to start with. 
Would you please let me know what you think of the evidence I have sent you re Sandy Hook? Much more evidence of this kind exist, but let us keep it to these four, for now.
Here it is:

1. the conga line
The famous conga line from the Pulitzer prize winning photographer Shannon Hicks of the Newtown Bee.
Here is the first, the one we all saw that went around the globe:
It was cropped from the head of the boy in front to the girl at the end. 

Generally speaking, my overarching observation is that "evidentiary oddities" do not justify firm conclusions. It is one thing to identify divergence from "the official story" and a categorically "different beast" to create a new "official story." 

Not a single synapse in my brain is persuaded by the purported evidence that Sandy Hook was staged. And so I find it monstrous to attack the grieving parents of the 20 children killed by Adam Lanza. (Although my own research "proves" nothing, it is notable that David Ray Griffin has said nothing about Sandy Hook and I would bet Big Money that he makes none of the conclusions you do.)

In the wake of Rochester New York's mid-60s race riots, my Dad - a very bright, judicious man with formal scientific training - sat on the city's longest-ever Grand Jury. What I remember most about Dad's dinner-time conversation back then was this bewildered observation: "How can it be that eye witnesses - with no apparent axe to grind - can offer antithetical testimony to the same event?" It was a good question then. And it's a good question now. At minimum, I am persuaded that evidence is rarely "cut-and-dried." However, I am persuaded that evidence set forth by Sandy Hook conspiracists is, by American "rules of evidence" (and also by the requirements of Scientific Method), inadmissible. Except for many "evidentiary exhibits" from 9/11, I rarely see conspiratorial evidence elsewhere which, by my lights, meets the highest standards of intellectual rigor. Yes, there is evidence that suggests the existence of other kinds of conspiracies but rarely does such evidence clear my own analytical bar. 

Concerning the Sandy Hook images you sent, please keep in mind the pervasive issue of photographic manipulation - and even ex nihilo photograph creation. 

Back when Mother Theresa was still alive, I wrote that "seeing is no longer believing" since it had become technologically possible to create -- pixel by pixel -- a credible videotape of Mother Theresa being sodomized by Ronald Reagan. 

And since dispute still persists over the validity of Obama's birth certificate -- a red herring in the first place! -- it is clear that people believe what they want to believe.  (I myself am not immune although my keen awareness of "wishful thinking," coupled with my scientific training, is somewhat prophylactic.)

As I see it, there is a yuuuge cottage industry (if not an entire "Fortune 500 company") on "the right side of the aisle" whose purpose is to fabricate-and-propagate whole-cloth falsehood. 

On the left side of the aisle (where most scientists make their "political home") we discover that it is "in" the nature of Science --  and uniquely in the nature of Science -- that people of scientific disposition try to prove themselves wrong. 

In all other world views, people tend to accumlate evidence - at least some of it factual -- and then present only corroborating evidence to kindred spirits dwelling in their "chosen choir" so that confirmation bias has opportunity to run wild. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

However, the fundamental purpose of self-confirming "evidence accumulators" is to win arguments by sheer weight of evidence that is favorable to their own views without taking an equally close look at countervailing evidence, or countervailing conclusions that can be reached through strict application of Reason alone.  

In the case of Sandy Hook, I see no attention given to the reasonable argument that "firearm carnage" (whether feigned or factual) causes 2nd Amendment support to spike, not to diminish, when - according to conspiracists - the central motivation for feigning "firearm carnage" is to turn Americans against The Second Amendment.


Image result for obama will take our guns away
Obama: Gun Salesman-In-Chief 

As for the Conga Line, it makes sense to me that one group of students after another would be led from the school so that, in the end, "one person's Conga line" is another person's "orderly, sequential exit." 

Furthermore, since the kids pictured in the two photos you supply strike me as being different kids I don't see any discrepancy at all. 

In terms of "emergency exit drills" (which I used to conduct at Orange High School), I see exactly what I would expect to see. 

In any event, given the ease with which photographs are manipulated or created ex nihilo, I put very little credence in photographic evidence particularly when it is touted by Alex Jones whom I consider a vile mad man and a despicable opportunist who feigns moral outrage in order to sell his bogus "supplements." http://paxonbothhouses.blogspot.com/2017/09/theres-something-wrong-with-alex-jones.html

That Trump supports Jones is what it is. 

Let those with eyes to see, see. 



Here is the second:


It is apparent that the conga line of the second is completely different from the first. A girl in pink is now in the lead. What are the parents doing, all on-looking, one man as if with hands in the pockets of his hoodie? 
Is this any way to watch a mass shooting? Alan: This is how I would react if I were a parent looking on while children were being led in orderly fashion from the site of a deadly crime. Conspiracists make far too much of parents' supposedly inappropriate responses, a psychological "inflation" whereby they establish their own norms as behavioral absolutes.
It seems the first photo was taken from the spot in the second photo where the woman with the dark blue jacket is standing. Could this be the Pulitzer prize winner? Alan: This is the bogus logic Trump has continually used to bamboozle dimwits. "Well, it could be..." Sure. Damn near anything "could be." But this does not mean that speculation is suddenly elevated to the status of prima facie evidence.
The leaves on the trees and the lack of frost on the ground suggest it is not December, and the temperature is not 28 degrees as it was on Dec. 13.  Alan: In the mid-Atlantic states (where I live) this kind of clothing is exactly the clothing people would don on a bright, cold day in mid-December. Plus, there is rarely opportunity to fetch true winter clothing from storage until after Christmas.
There should be over four hundred children evacuating the school. Alan: I see no reason to expect all 400 children to be visible in the same time-limited photo (or sequence of photos). Indeed, such expectation impresses me as contortionist "grasping at straws" in order to justify (and confirm) a pre-formed conclusion rather than look at evidence-in-comprehensible-context.

2. The emergency tape at the school before the event

The front door has not been shot out as we find it later:
Alan: As this photograph is presented, there is no scientific reason (or reasonable inference) why it should be accepted as belonging to the alleged chronology of events. 

  

And the broken windows of classroom 10, shot out in later photos, are as yet intact.                                 evening before
 day of



3. Setting up the mortuary tent before the event

Alan: I repeat my observation from "exhibit" #2. As these photographs are presented, there is NO scientific reason or reasonable inference why they should be accepted as belonging to the alleged chronology of events. 
 
The windows of classroom ten are not shot out yet.
The flag is at full mast . Alan: As I understand "flag protocol," the flag "should be" at full mast since the shadows show that it is still in full sunlight. But even if it "should" have been taken down or be flying at half-mast, it makes perfect sense to me that no one caught up in the horror of mass murder would pay attention to such formulary triviality.
Must be late afternoon of December 12th.
Wayne Carver (the medical examiner) is behind the man on the right in the blue evidence suit.

Here he is with Paul (what blood?) Vance to his left. Alan: Maybe he put on a fresh lab coat. Or, just as likely, victims' blood had dried by the time he examined the bodies. (Remember: once "reasonable doubt" is established, there can be no "conviction"... except religious conviction.)
“[My staff] and I hope the people of Newtown don’t have it crash on their head later”
Connecticut Medical Examiner D. Wayne Carver II, MD, December 15, 2012

4. Noah Posner dies two times
Without explanation, Pozner’s image has appeared in multiple photos and reports of the high-profile Army Public School shooting, reportedly carried out by 9 members of an elite Taliban terror group on December 16.
Alan: This allegation stikes me as totally unhinged. While suspending judgment on the validity of the photo, I will point out that -- at a distance and in "miniature" -- many people look like many other people. Last Sunday, at the funeral service of a 24 year old friend who died while rock climbing in the Grand Tetons, I was convinced that a young girl with whom I was speaking was the daughter of "Larry and Libby" whereas, in fact, she was the daughter or Sarah and Robert. I think I have already sent you web addresses where you can view side-by-side photographs of doppelgangers who REALLY look like another, even when viewed close-up and in "high definition."

According to my reading of conspiracist literature, I also note the hugely disproportionate involvment of white nationalist, pro-fascist, anti-semitic conservatives. And therefore I am not in the least surprised that lopsidedly critical attention is paid to the Jews caught up in this horror. I am not saying that this hypothesis is "absolutely true." But I am saying that, in my mind, anti-semiticism is at least a plausible motivator.

Please let me know what you think of this evidence. How do you explain it?
And please, for the time being, nothing else.

I am off to the rivers and the mountains.

Arthur

Discussion With 9/11 Truther Friend About Epistemology, Belief, Certainty And Purpose

The 9/11 Truth Movement: Where Does It Lead?

"More On The Newtown Massacre": Professor David Ray Griffin And The Swamp Of Conspiracism

Conspiracy Thinking, The Death Of Shared Identity And The Collapse Of Common Purpose

"Crisis Acting": A Standard Conspiracist Hoax That Supposedly Reveals Hoaxes (Snopes)

The Daily Show Goes To Trump Rally To Hear Conspiracy Theories: They Are Not Disappointed

"More On The Newtown Massacre": Professor David Ray Griffin And The Swamp Of Conspiracism



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