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Friday, April 11, 2014

Your Taxes Are Really Low, In One Chart

effective  tax rates

Consider successful businessman Ben Franklin's view of taxes:

Benjamin Franklin to Robert Morris - 25 December, 1783

"The Remissness of our People in Paying Taxes is highly blameable; the Unwillingness to pay them is still more so. I see, in some Resolutions of Town Meetings, a Remonstrance against giving Congress a Power to take, as they call it, the People's Money out of their Pockets, tho' only to pay the Interest and Principal of Debts duly contracted. They seem to mistake the Point. Money, justly due from the People, is their Creditors' Money, and no longer the Money of the People, who, if they withold it, should be compell'd to pay by some Law. All Property, indeed, except the Savage's temporary Cabin, his Bow, his Matchcoat, and other little Acquisitions, absolutely necessary for his Subsistence, seems to me to be the Creature of public Convention. Hence the Public has the Right of Regulating Descents, and all other Conveyances of Property, and even of limiting the Quantity and the Uses of it. All the Property that is necessary to a Man, for the Conservation of the Individual and the Propagation of the Species, is his natural Right, which none can justly deprive him of: But all Property superfluous to such purposes is the Property of the Publick, who, by their Laws, have created it, and who may therefore by other Laws dispose of it, whenever the Welfare of the Publick shall demand such Disposition. He that does not like civil Society on these Terms, let him retire and live among Savages. He can have no right to the benefits of Society, who will not pay his Club towards the Support of it."

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"Politics and Economics: The 101 Courses You Wish You Had"

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Taxed enough already? Hardly. According to the Congressional Budget Office, your effective federal tax rates are near historic lows.
One of the great ironies of the rise of the tea party movement was that it coincided with the lowest total tax burdens seen in at least 30 years. The chart below plots effective federal tax rates since 1979 by income group. The key word here is "effective" -- these are the tax rates people actually pay after factoring in things like the mortgage interest deduction, the child tax credit and the myriad other deductions and credits written into the U.S. tax code. Values for 2011 and 2012 aren't yet available, but the CBO does provide projections for 2013 tax filings, which I've plotted, as well.
effective  tax rates
Overall the trend is downward. The average filer saw her effective tax rate drop from 22 percent in 1979 to 18.1 percent in 2010. Rates on the bottom 20 percent of tax filers went from 7.5 percent to 1.5 percent, while the top 20 percent of earners saw a more modest decrease, from 27.1 to 24.0 percent over the same period.
The effect of crisis-era policy is clearly visible in the sharp drop in rates from 2007 to 2008, mostly from tax provisions in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. Tax rates hit rock bottom in 2009, right as the tea party movement was gaining steam.
The tea party movement has lost some momentum since then, but many Republicans have not lost any of their tax-cutting fervor. Rep. Paul Ryan's budget, passed Thursday in the House, contains $5 trillion in tax cuts, including simplifying the tax bracket structure from seven tiers to two -- a 10 percent bracket and 25 percent bracket.
The Ryan budget has zero chance of passing the Senate. And, in fact, tax rates are likely to go up in the coming years, as many of the crisis-era ARRA tax cuts expire. But even with the increases taking effect this year, as charted in the CBO projections above, rates are still near historic lows for all but the top 1 percent of wage earners.

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